• IS THE RUNNING BACK POSITION DEAD?

    The decline in importance of the running back position in NFL can be attributed to several reasons. First and foremost, statistics show that passing is more efficient and carries greater weight in winning games than running. Furthermore, factors such as field position and defenders present in 'the box' before the snap contribute about 96% to the success of a run play. In essence, it's not the 'who' but the 'where' and 'how many' that matter when a ball is run. Despite the diminishing value of running backs, some standout players, such as Bijan Robinson of the University of Texas and Jahmyr Gibbs from Alabama, still captivate attention. Often, their exceptional abilities are used to justify a first-round pick. However, the issue extends beyond specific players and encompasses the entire running back role. The fundamental problem lies in the positioning of running backs before the snap. This position makes it harder for them to contribute positively to the game. Generally, a running back is set back from the line of scrimmage by 5-7 yards, making it difficult for them to become an effective down-the-field passing option. Even when running backs are placed in the slot, a trend that's been gaining traction over the past 10-15 years, studies show that they still produce less value as pass targets than wide receivers or tight ends. This is primarily due to their targets being closer to the line of scrimmage and, therefore, not offering the same potential for large gains. The next hurdle is related to player protection. When designing plays, coaches align protections with route concepts. The running back, being 5-7 yards off the line of scrimmage, is ideally positioned to act as the sixth pass blocker. Moving the running back to the slot or wide as a regular pass target limits the 6-man pass protection options and could expose the quarterback to more risks. So, to leverage a running back as a frequent downfield weapon, the team would need to make substantial changes to their offense. This might involve using two running backs, removing a wide receiver or tight end, or altering their role. However, given the running back's diminishing importance and the challenges associated with changing player roles, the running back position seems to be losing its significance in the game.

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